Weekly Roundup 2022-09-02

Author: Danyaal Munshi

Weekly Roundup 2022-09-02

Lunar Capital Weekly Roundup

 

Index / Fund / Rate Start of Year Last week This Week % change YTD
JSE ALSI 73 723 70 173 67 378 -8.61%
NASDAQ Composite 15 833 12 142 11 631 -26.54%
S&P 500 4 797 4 058 3 924 -18.19%
Prime Lending Rate 7.25% 9.00% 9.00% 24.14%
Lunar BCI WW Flexible Fund 165.68 149.91 144.43 -12.83%
USD/ZAR 15.96 16.88 17.32 8.52%
EUR/ZAR 17.95 16.82 17.23 -4.01%
Brent Crude 77.86 100.70 93.26 19.78%

Source: iress

Company and Market News

In 2016: the Democratic National Committee (DNC) thought that they were hacked during the 2016 US-election between Hilary Clinton and Donald Trump. They brought in Crowdstrike to assess their assumptions. Crowdstrike put their product on all the DNC members’ laptops and phones, and noticed that a number of apps were sending information to a specific Russian Hacker group known as Cozy Bear, without the DNC-members knowing. Crowdstrike were able to provide evidence to the FBI, to indicate that Cozy Bear had tried to influence the election.

Crowdstrike, founded in 2011, is a cybersecurity company that focuses on endpoint security through the cloud. Crowdstrike, essentially collects data on what applications are interacting between a person’s devices and other devices; and sends that information to Crowdstrike where their AI system continuously assesses the data to see if there are risks. If they pick up any anomalies, Crowdstrike would have the ability to contain the threat by shutting off certain applications or devices to prevent further contamination. Crowdstrike are also able to look at where the threats are coming from and compare it to all the other threats they’ve seen on the other devices of other companies in their network.

Last week Crowdstrike released their Q2 2022 results. Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) was $2.14 billion and it grew 59% year on year. Net loss for the company was $78.7 million for six months ended July 31, 2022. This is compared to the net loss for the same period a year ago of $140.2 million. Despite the net loss, net cash from operating activities for six months ended July 31, was $424.9 million compared to $256 million a year ago. The share price decreased by 11.1% during the week.

Businesses will always require protection against cybercrimes, which is currently on the rise. This plays in Crowdstrike’s favour. Crowdstrike offers a more thorough security compared to traditional firewall security as it continuously looks for threats in the devices, whereas other firewalls generally only search for threats at the entry point. On the other hand, cyber-criminals are also continuously developing newer and more difficult-to-spot threats. Crowdstrike is operating in an ever-changing environment which makes it tougher to cement their moat compared to other business types.

Disclosure: Crowdstrike is held in the Lunar BCI Worldwide Flexible Fund.

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The Lunar BCI Worldwide Flexible Fund Fact Sheet together with our Disclaimers can be read here.

A&EO.

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CrowdStrike’s latest quarterly results reflect a business that continues to scale at an impressive rate, while also illustrating some of the tensions between growth, profitability, and valuation that increasingly define the cybersecurity sector. The company reported total quarterly revenue of $1.39 billion, up 26% year-on-year, reinforcing its position as one of the fastest-growing large-cap cybersecurity platforms. Growth was supported by strong demand across its Falcon platform, with net new annual recurring revenue (ARR) of $256 million, up 32%. This brought total ending ARR to $5.51 billion, a 24% increase, highlighting the durability of its subscription-based model and the continued expansion of its installed base. Despite this top-line momentum, profitability remains work in progress. CrowdStrike reported a GAAP operating loss of $30.6 million, a meaningful improvement from the $108.7 million loss recorded in the prior period, but still indicative of a business investing heavily in growth. While the trajectory is clearly improving, the pace of margin expansion remains a key area of focus for investors, particularly as the business scales. A central theme in management’s commentary was the growing intersection between artificial intelligence and cybersecurity. The company pointed to what it described as an inflection point, where AI is not only enhancing defensive capabilities but is increasingly being weaponised by attackers. The proliferation of AI-driven threats raises the complexity and frequency of cyberattacks, reinforcing the need for advanced, real-time protection. In this context, CrowdStrike’s access to leading AI models through partnerships with firms such as OpenAI and Anthropic stands out as an important competitive advantage. These relationships, alongside collaborations with Microsoft and IBM, position CrowdStrike at the centre of an evolving ecosystem where cybersecurity, cloud infrastructure, and AI capabilities are becoming deeply interconnected. Stock-based compensation still remains elevated and continues to weigh on the company’s path to sustained profitability. While common across high-growth technology businesses, it represents a real economic cost to shareholders and, at current levels, raises questions about long-term margin structure. Valuation is another important consideration. CrowdStrike continues to trade at a premium relative to its revenue base, reflecting both its growth profile and its perceived strategic importance in the cybersecurity landscape. However, this also leaves less room for execution missteps. Notably, while revenues grew by 26%, this fell short of some market expectations, suggesting that the bar remains high and that incremental disappointments can have an outsized impact on sentiment.
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