Alphabet: Is the Search Over?

Author: Danyaal Munshi

Alphabet: Is the Search Over?

Alphabet currently trades at the lowest trailing price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio among the major U.S. tech companies. As of last Friday, its P/E stood just above 20—significantly lower than Amazon at 37, Microsoft at 39, Apple at 33, and Meta at 27. This valuation gap reflects investor scepticism about the future of Alphabet’s core business: Search. 

The concern stems from the rise of generative AI platforms, which are increasingly being used as alternatives to traditional search engines. If users begin to favour AI tools over Google Search for information discovery, it could erode Alphabet’s advertising revenue—the foundation of its business model. Google’s search engine monetizes through advertising, and its value to advertisers depends on user volume. Fewer users could mean reduced demand for ad space or lower advertising rates or more likely both. 

Despite these concerns, Alphabet’s Search business remains strong. In its most recent quarter, Search generated $54.2 billion in revenue, up 12% year-over-year, and accounted for 56% of the company’s total revenue. While growth continues, the long-term trajectory remains uncertain as generative AI adoption accelerates. 

Alphabet’s portfolio extends well beyond Search. YouTube Ads brought in $9.8 billion last quarter, a 13% increase year-over-year. This figure excludes revenue from YouTube subscriptions, which adds another layer of monetization. Unlike competitors such as Netflix, YouTube does not commission original content, allowing it to maintain higher margins on its ad-based model. 

Alphabet is also investing heavily in its generative AI capabilities. Its Cloud division—which includes its AI initiatives—posted $13.6 billion in revenue last quarter, up 32% year-over-year, with operating margins reaching 20.7%. The company is focusing on building AI tools for startups, where it sees the most traction. To support this growth, Alphabet has increased its planned capital expenditures to $85 billion, up from $75 billion. The jury is still out on whether this investment will position Alphabet competitively and provide a good return or is this another case of overspending with poor or negative returns.  

Alphabet’s low P/E ratio may reflect market caution, but its financials tell a story of resilience and a possible strategic evolution.  

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