Tesla: No Margin for Error

Tesla: No Margin for Error

21 July 2023

Key Indicators

Index / Fund / Rate Start of Year Last week This Week % change YTD
Lunar BCI WW Flexible Fund 141.43 171.24 170.91 20.84%
JSE ALSI 73 049 77 751 76 827 5.17%
NASDAQ Composite 10 467 14 114 14 033 34.07%
S&P 500 3 840 4 505 4 536 18.13%
Prime Lending Rate 10,50% 11.75% 11.75% 11.90%
USD/ZAR 16,98 18.08 17.94 5.65%
EUR/ZAR 18,44 20.32 19.96 8.24%
Brent Crude ($’barrel) 85,95 79.58 80.61 -6.21%

Source: Iress

Weekly Stocktake with Danyaal

Tesla: No Margin for Error

The Earnings Season is underway in the US, and various companies have begun releasing their quarterly results. Tesla, led by Elon Musk, recently disclosed its Q2 2023 performance. Tesla recorded revenue of $24.9 billion for the quarter, marking a 47% increase compared to the same period last year. Additionally, the company’s vehicle deliveries during Q2-2023 reached 466 thousand units. This was up 83% compared to the same quarter last year. Tesla is actively pursuing market share, but this growth is coming with certain costs.

Over the past two quarters, Tesla has been reducing the average selling price of its vehicles, primarily due to a decline in overall demand within the US market and greater competition in China. Despite witnessing enhanced efficiency and increased vehicle production at their factories in the US, Shanghai, and Berlin; Tesla is facing challenges in maintaining the same profit margins as seen in the corresponding quarter of the previous year. While the revenue experienced a 47% growth, the gross profit only managed to grow by a modest 7%. The gross margin was already relatively tight compared to other industries. Specifically, in Q2-2022, Tesla’s gross margin stood at 25%, but for the most recent quarter, it dipped to 18.2%. This signifies the impact of their pricing strategy and the current market conditions on their profitability. Tesla’s share price fell approximately 10% since they released their results.

Tesla finds itself in a fascinating position within the market. With their vehicles priced towards the upper-income segment, they could have pursued a strategy of limiting supply to create a sense of exclusivity, as is common in luxury brands. However, Tesla has chosen a different path. Instead of focusing solely on exclusivity, they are striving to be more “innovative” than their competitors. Their approach involves allowing their cutting-edge technology and innovations do the talking. Tesla was one of the first companies to produce autonomous vehicles to the general public at scale.

Another factor at play is Elon Musk. While some people strongly dislike him, others are huge admirers. He has cultivated a cult-like following of individuals who are willing to buy practically anything he endorses. This devoted fan base plays a crucial role in boosting Tesla’s sales and brand loyalty. However, his polarizing nature also attracts criticism and scepticism from certain quarters. Overall, Elon Musk’s influence on Tesla’s success is complex, shaping the company’s unique position in the automotive industry.

Connect with us on social media:

LinkedIn: https://bit.ly/413pDnr
Facebook: https://bit.ly/3ScL7Km
Instagram: https://bit.ly/3ICEjCJ

Lunar Capital on Eastwave Radio

Every Tuesday, at 07h45, Sabir chats with Nazia from Eastwave Radio (92.2 fm, live stream on www.eastwave.co.za) on investing and the markets.

Click here to access your account to view statements, obtain tax certificates, add, or make changes to your investments.

Our email address is: [email protected]

Disclosures
Lunar Capital (Pty) Ltd is a registered Financial Services Provider. FSP (46567)
Read our full Disclosure statement: https://lunarcapital.co.za/disclosures/
Our Privacy Notice: https://lunarcapital.co.za/privacy-policy/
The Lunar BCI Worldwide Flexible Fund Fact Sheet  can be read here.
This stocktake is prepared for the clients of Lunar Capital (Pty) Ltd. This stocktake does not constitute financial advice and is generated for information purposes only.
Share article

Latest Posts

Xbox-ed
Xbox-ed
What does the SpaceX IPO say about the broader market
What does the SpaceX IPO say about the broader market.
SpaceX-cluded
What does the SpaceX IPO say about the broader market
CrowdStrike’s latest quarterly results reflect a business that continues to scale at an impressive rate, while also illustrating some of the tensions between growth, profitability, and valuation that increasingly define the cybersecurity sector. The company reported total quarterly revenue of $1.39 billion, up 26% year-on-year, reinforcing its position as one of the fastest-growing large-cap cybersecurity platforms. Growth was supported by strong demand across its Falcon platform, with net new annual recurring revenue (ARR) of $256 million, up 32%. This brought total ending ARR to $5.51 billion, a 24% increase, highlighting the durability of its subscription-based model and the continued expansion of its installed base. Despite this top-line momentum, profitability remains work in progress. CrowdStrike reported a GAAP operating loss of $30.6 million, a meaningful improvement from the $108.7 million loss recorded in the prior period, but still indicative of a business investing heavily in growth. While the trajectory is clearly improving, the pace of margin expansion remains a key area of focus for investors, particularly as the business scales. A central theme in management’s commentary was the growing intersection between artificial intelligence and cybersecurity. The company pointed to what it described as an inflection point, where AI is not only enhancing defensive capabilities but is increasingly being weaponised by attackers. The proliferation of AI-driven threats raises the complexity and frequency of cyberattacks, reinforcing the need for advanced, real-time protection. In this context, CrowdStrike’s access to leading AI models through partnerships with firms such as OpenAI and Anthropic stands out as an important competitive advantage. These relationships, alongside collaborations with Microsoft and IBM, position CrowdStrike at the centre of an evolving ecosystem where cybersecurity, cloud infrastructure, and AI capabilities are becoming deeply interconnected. Stock-based compensation still remains elevated and continues to weigh on the company’s path to sustained profitability. While common across high-growth technology businesses, it represents a real economic cost to shareholders and, at current levels, raises questions about long-term margin structure. Valuation is another important consideration. CrowdStrike continues to trade at a premium relative to its revenue base, reflecting both its growth profile and its perceived strategic importance in the cybersecurity landscape. However, this also leaves less room for execution missteps. Notably, while revenues grew by 26%, this fell short of some market expectations, suggesting that the bar remains high and that incremental disappointments can have an outsized impact on sentiment.
Crowding out the Competition
Cybersecurity for the AI era

Lunar Capital
on Eastwave Radio

Every Wednesday, at 07h45, Sabir chats with Nazia from Eastwave Radio (92.2 fm, live stream on
www.eastwave.co.za) on investing and the markets.

eastwave-radio