South Africa’s National Health Insurance (NHI) Bill

South Africa’s National Health Insurance (NHI) Bill

16 June 2023

Key Indicators

Index / Fund / Rate Start of Year Last week This Week % change YTD
Lunar BCI WW Flexible Fund 141.43 170.54 171.81 21.48%
JSE ALSI 73 049 77 126 78 532 7.51%
NASDAQ Composite 10 467 13 259 13 690 30.79%
S&P 500 3 840 4 299 4 410 14.38%
Prime Lending Rate 10,50% 11.75% 11.75% 11.90%
USD/ZAR 16,98 18.72 18.17 7.01%
EUR/ZAR 18,44 20.17 19.86 7.70%
Brent Crude ($’barrel) 85,95 74.98 75.62 -12.02%

Source: Iress

Weekly Stocktake with Danyaal

South Africa’s National Health Insurance (NHI) Bill

What does the NHI propose?

The National Health Insurance (NHI) Bill was recently passed by Parliament, with the aim of providing universal health insurance to all individuals in South Africa. The bill proposes pooling the resources of all citizens in the country to achieve this goal. However, it should be noted that the Bill still requires approval from the National Council of Provinces and subsequent signing by the President before it can be enacted. According to the government, the bill intends to ensure that every citizen has access to high-quality healthcare, regardless of their income or health condition. Under the proposed system, the government will take charge of purchasing all necessary health services for the population. This includes determining the types of services available, the placement of health facilities, and the allocation of health professionals.

Funding

The specific details of the funding structure for the NHI initiative are currently uncertain. However, it is suggested that the funding will rely on the existing tax plan, with additional taxes or rates imposed on those who have the financial capacity to afford them. It is important to note that South Africa currently faces one of the highest unemployment rates globally, resulting in a relatively small tax base. The implementation of the bill in its entirety could potentially place a substantial burden on taxpayers, further straining the already challenging economic landscape.

What does this mean for SA Health Insurers?

Health insurers in South Africa, such as Discovery, Momentum and many others, currently serve around 9 million individuals. However, under the NHI bill, these insurance schemes will only be allowed to provide coverage for procedures that are not included in the bill. This could potentially render them obsolete or significantly reduce their scope of services. The complete implementation of the NHI bill is estimated to take approximately 10 to 15 years if everything goes according to plan. Nevertheless, it is important to note that there is a possibility of legal challenges being raised against the bill, which could potentially impact its timeline and implementation.

The NHI bill raises numerous unanswered questions regarding coverage, funding, impact on current medical aid schemes, implementation timeline, legal validity, and unintended consequences. Only time will reveal the true outcomes and effects of the bill as it progresses and more details emerge.

Connect with us on social media:

LinkedIn: https://bit.ly/413pDnr
Facebook: https://bit.ly/3ScL7Km
Instagram: https://bit.ly/3ICEjCJ

Lunar Capital on Eastwave Radio

Every Tuesday, at 07h45, Sabir chats with Nazia from Eastwave Radio (92.2 fm, live stream on www.eastwave.co.za) on investing and the markets.

Click here to access your account to view statements, obtain tax certificates, add, or make changes to your investments.

Our email address is: [email protected]

Disclosures
Read our full Disclosure statement: https://lunarcapital.co.za/disclosures/
Our Privacy Notice: https://lunarcapital.co.za/privacy-policy/
The Lunar BCI Worldwide Flexible Fund Fact Sheet  can be read here.
This roundup is prepared for the clients of Lunar Capital (Pty) Ltd. This roundup does not constitute financial advice and is generated for information purposes only.
Share article

Latest Posts

Xbox-ed
Xbox-ed
What does the SpaceX IPO say about the broader market
What does the SpaceX IPO say about the broader market.
SpaceX-cluded
What does the SpaceX IPO say about the broader market
CrowdStrike’s latest quarterly results reflect a business that continues to scale at an impressive rate, while also illustrating some of the tensions between growth, profitability, and valuation that increasingly define the cybersecurity sector. The company reported total quarterly revenue of $1.39 billion, up 26% year-on-year, reinforcing its position as one of the fastest-growing large-cap cybersecurity platforms. Growth was supported by strong demand across its Falcon platform, with net new annual recurring revenue (ARR) of $256 million, up 32%. This brought total ending ARR to $5.51 billion, a 24% increase, highlighting the durability of its subscription-based model and the continued expansion of its installed base. Despite this top-line momentum, profitability remains work in progress. CrowdStrike reported a GAAP operating loss of $30.6 million, a meaningful improvement from the $108.7 million loss recorded in the prior period, but still indicative of a business investing heavily in growth. While the trajectory is clearly improving, the pace of margin expansion remains a key area of focus for investors, particularly as the business scales. A central theme in management’s commentary was the growing intersection between artificial intelligence and cybersecurity. The company pointed to what it described as an inflection point, where AI is not only enhancing defensive capabilities but is increasingly being weaponised by attackers. The proliferation of AI-driven threats raises the complexity and frequency of cyberattacks, reinforcing the need for advanced, real-time protection. In this context, CrowdStrike’s access to leading AI models through partnerships with firms such as OpenAI and Anthropic stands out as an important competitive advantage. These relationships, alongside collaborations with Microsoft and IBM, position CrowdStrike at the centre of an evolving ecosystem where cybersecurity, cloud infrastructure, and AI capabilities are becoming deeply interconnected. Stock-based compensation still remains elevated and continues to weigh on the company’s path to sustained profitability. While common across high-growth technology businesses, it represents a real economic cost to shareholders and, at current levels, raises questions about long-term margin structure. Valuation is another important consideration. CrowdStrike continues to trade at a premium relative to its revenue base, reflecting both its growth profile and its perceived strategic importance in the cybersecurity landscape. However, this also leaves less room for execution missteps. Notably, while revenues grew by 26%, this fell short of some market expectations, suggesting that the bar remains high and that incremental disappointments can have an outsized impact on sentiment.
Crowding out the Competition
Cybersecurity for the AI era

Lunar Capital
on Eastwave Radio

Every Wednesday, at 07h45, Sabir chats with Nazia from Eastwave Radio (92.2 fm, live stream on
www.eastwave.co.za) on investing and the markets.

eastwave-radio