JP Morgan

JP Morgan: Bank On It

JP Morgan: Bank On It

JP Morgan, known for its fortress balance sheet, released its Q3 2024 results on Friday. The bank reported net revenues of $42.7 billion, representing a 7% year-over-year increase. Net income for JP Morgan was $12.9 billion, a decline of 2% compared to the previous year. The bank’s return on equity (ROE) for the quarter stood at 16%. This was partly driven by efficiencies from tech investments and lazy deposits (customers who settled for lower returns on their deposits than they would get in other accounts.) 

The discrepancy between the rise in net revenue and the decline in net income was attributed to higher provisions for credit losses, which amounted to $3.1 billion, an increase of 125% from the same period last year. Despite this, JP Morgan’s balance sheet is well-positioned to withstand such financial pressures. 

Following the 2008 Global Financial Crisis, the Basel III framework was introduced to enhance banking regulation. One significant part of the regulation requires banks to maintain a common equity tier 1 (CET 1) ratio of at least 4.5%. Regulators may require higher ratios from specific banks. The CET 1 ratio reflects a bank’s core capital, comprising common shares, retained earnings, and additional paid-in capital. It is considered the most secure form of capital, essential for enhancing a bank’s financial resilience and safeguarding depositors during financial shocks. JP Morgan’s CET1 ratio is 15.3% on risk weighted assets of USD1.8tn, giving it an estimated loss-absorbing capacity of USD544bn.  

With such a large asset and capital base, and broad product suite; JP Morgan services over 82 million US consumers, 6 million small businesses and 40 thousand large- and medium businesses around the world.  JP Morgan’s strong balance sheet also allows it to take advantage of growth opportunities when the market goes through a downturn. 

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Disclosures
Lunar Capital (Pty) Ltd is a registered Financial Services Provider. FSP (46567)
Read our full Disclosure statement: https://lunarcapital.co.za/disclosures/
Our Privacy Notice: https://lunarcapital.co.za/privacy-policy/
The Lunar BCI Worldwide Flexible Fund Fact Sheet  can be read here.
This stocktake is prepared for the clients of Lunar Capital (Pty) Ltd. This stocktake does not constitute financial advice and is generated for information purposes only.

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JP Mor-Gains

JP Mor-Gains

Earnings season has started, and JP Morgan has released their Q2 2024 results. Net revenue for the quarter was $50.2 billion, up 22% year on year, while net income for the quarter was $18.1 billion. On May 6th, JP Morgan announced that it would exchange its Visa Class B-1 stock for Visa Class B-2 and Class C common stock, resulting in a one-time net gain of $7.9 billion for the company. After removing this net gain, contributions to JP Morgan’s Foundation, and discretionary security losses, JP Morgan’s adjusted net income stood at $13.1 billion. 

Jamie Dimon, the Chairman and CEO, noted significant achievements, including the opening of 450 thousand net new checking accounts and a 14% increase in investment assets, reaching $1 trillion. However, he also pointed out that lower-income customers are showing slight signs of stress due to high interest rates and persistent inflation, which have reduced their savings from pandemic levels. 

Dimon emphasized that JP Morgan remains cautious in the current market, citing the geopolitical situation as potentially the most dangerous since World War II. He also mentioned the uncertainty surrounding the full effects of the quantitative tightening carried out in 2022. Despite these challenges, JP Morgan’s robust balance sheet, with a standardized capital ratio of 15.3%, demonstrates the bank’s ability to handle a wide range of environments. 

After the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank in March 2023, Lunar Capital began acquiring JP Morgan stock in the Lunar BCI Worldwide Flexible Fund and for our offshore portfolio clients. Our view was that as smaller banks are under strain, the better-run banks, such as JP Morgan, would gain new customers and deposits. This increased market share and reduced competition provides an additional boost to the quality bank’s revenues, margins and profits. 

Security Held In:
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Lunar Capital BCI Worldwide Flexible Fund
Lunar Capital Offshore Portfolio Clients
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Lunar Capital BCI Worldwide Flexible Fund
Lunar Capital Offshore Portfolio Clients
Security
Lunar Capital BCI Worldwide Flexible Fund
Lunar Capital Offshore Portfolio Clients
Key Indicators
Index / Fund / Rate
Start of Year
Last Week
This Week
% Change YTD
Index / Fund / Rate
Start of Year
188.33
Last Week
216.71
This Week
215.49
% Change YTD
14.42% Lunar Capital increasesymbol
Index / Fund / Rate
JSE ALSI
Start of Year
76 893
Last Week
80 797
This Week
81 686 Lunar Capital increasesymbol
% Change YTD
6.23% Lunar Capital increasesymbol
Index / Fund / Rate
NASDAQ Composite
Start of Year
15 011
Last Week
18 353
This Week
18 398 Lunar Capital increasesymbol
% Change YTD
22.56% Lunar Capital increasesymbol
Index / Fund / Rate
S&P 500
Start of Year
4 770
Last Week
5 567
This Week
5 615 Lunar Capital increasesymbol
% Change YTD
17.73% Lunar Capital increasesymbol
Index / Fund / Rate
Prime Lending Rate
Start of Year
11.75%
Last Week
11.75%
This Week
11.75%
% Change YTD
0.00%
Index / Fund / Rate
USD/ZAR
Start of Year
18.30
Last Week
18.18
This Week
17.97 Lunar Capital stocktake arrow down
% Change YTD
-1.80% Lunar Capital stocktake arrow down
Index / Fund / Rate
EUR/ZAR
Start of Year
20.17
Last Week
19.72
This Week
19.63 Lunar Capital stocktake arrow down
% Change YTD
-2.68% Lunar Capital stocktake arrow down
Index / Fund / Rate
Brent Crude ($'barrel)
Start of Year
76.97
Last Week
86.98
This Week
85.00 Lunar Capital stocktake arrow down
% Change YTD
10.43% Lunar Capital increasesymbol
Source: Iress

Click here to access your account to view statements, obtain tax certificates, add or make changes to your investments.

Our email address is: [email protected]

Disclosures
Lunar Capital (Pty) Ltd is a registered Financial Services Provider. FSP (46567)
Read our full Disclosure statement: https://lunarcapital.co.za/disclosures/
Our Privacy Notice: https://lunarcapital.co.za/privacy-policy/
The Lunar BCI Worldwide Flexible Fund Fact Sheet  can be read here.
This stocktake is prepared for the clients of Lunar Capital (Pty) Ltd. This stocktake does not constitute financial advice and is generated for information purposes only.

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JP Morgan and the Fortress Balance Sheet

JP Morgan and the Fortress Balance Sheet

Last week, JP Morgan released its Q1 2024 results. The quarterly net revenue increased to $41.9 billion, marking a 9% increase from the preceding quarter. Net income also saw a significant increase, reaching $13.4 billion, up 44% from the previous quarter. Provisions for credit losses witnessed a decline of 32%, settling at $1.9 billion. JP Morgan upheld a steady return on equity of 17%.

Despite the increase in revenue, Net Interest Income (NII) declined 4% due to deposit margin compression and the overall amount of deposits decreasing. This was mainly seen in the Consumer and Community Banking (CCB) section of JP Morgan. However, due to the rise in the US equities market last year, CCB investment assets were up 25%.

JP Morgan expressed that despite the strong economic indicators, such as the strong unemployment rate and wages in the US, there is still a lot of uncertainty in the market such as the ongoing geopolitical tensions and a large number of persistent inflationary pressures. JP Morgan also highlighted that the bank has not experienced this level of quantitative tightening at this scale before. The effects are likely only going to be seen over the long term. These comments likely caused the stock price to slide by just over 6% following the results disclosure.

JP Morgan benefitted from the recent regional banking crisis in the US when they purchased First Republic. This contributed to their growth in assets, revenues, and profits. JP Morgan prides itself on its “fortress balance sheet”; which in turn allows it to take advantage of large deals when they become available.

JP Morgan is held in the Lunar BCI Worldwide Flexible Fund and by Lunar Capital’s Offshore Portfolio clients.

Key Indicators
Index / Fund / Rate
Start of Year
Last Week
This Week
% Change YTD
Index / Fund / Rate
Start of Year
188.33
Last Week
200.74
This Week
203.47
% Change YTD
8.04% Lunar Capital increasesymbol
Index / Fund / Rate
JSE ALSI
Start of Year
76 893
Last Week
74 775
This Week
75 312 Lunar Capital increasesymbol
% Change YTD
-2.06% Lunar Capital stocktake arrow down
Index / Fund / Rate
NASDAQ Composite
Start of Year
15 011
Last Week
16 250
This Week
16 175 Lunar Capital stocktake arrow down
% Change YTD
7.75% Lunar Capital increasesymbol
Index / Fund / Rate
S&P 500
Start of Year
4 770
Last Week
5 204
This Week
5 123 Lunar Capital stocktake arrow down
% Change YTD
7.41% Lunar Capital increasesymbol
Index / Fund / Rate
Prime Lending Rate
Start of Year
11.75%
Last Week
11.75%
This Week
11.75%
% Change YTD
0.00%
Index / Fund / Rate
USD/ZAR
Start of Year
18.30
Last Week
18.70
This Week
18.84 Lunar Capital increasesymbol
% Change YTD
2.95% Lunar Capital increasesymbol
Index / Fund / Rate
EUR/ZAR
Start of Year
20.17
Last Week
20.27
This Week
20.09 Lunar Capital stocktake arrow down
% Change YTD
-0.40% Lunar Capital stocktake arrow down
Index / Fund / Rate
Brent Crude ($'barrel)
Start of Year
76.97
Last Week
90.87
This Week
90.18 Lunar Capital stocktake arrow down
% Change YTD
17.16% Lunar Capital increasesymbol
Source: Iress

Click here to access your account to view statements, obtain tax certificates, add or make changes to your investments.

Our email address is: [email protected]

Disclosures
Lunar Capital (Pty) Ltd is a registered Financial Services Provider. FSP (46567)
Read our full Disclosure statement: https://lunarcapital.co.za/disclosures/
Our Privacy Notice: https://lunarcapital.co.za/privacy-policy/
The Lunar BCI Worldwide Flexible Fund Fact Sheet  can be read here.
This stocktake is prepared for the clients of Lunar Capital (Pty) Ltd. This stocktake does not constitute financial advice and is generated for information purposes only.

JP Morgan and the Fortress Balance Sheet Read More »

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